Probability of dying between ages 30 and 70 from the main noncommunicable diseases
The chance that a 30-year-old would die before age 70 from cardiovascular disease, cancer, diabetes or chronic respiratory disease, if current death rates for these causes continued (SDG indicator 3.4.1). WHO estimate.
Highest in 2023
45.2%
Guyana
Lowest in 2023
6.6%
South Korea
Countries ranked for 2023
185
Updated by the source on 15 October 2026
185 countries have a value for 2023, the latest period in the data.
Trend over time
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The chart shows a calculation from the published values. The table below keeps the published values.
% probability. Source: World Health Organization, Global Health Observatory. Gaps mean no published value; points are not joined across missing years.
| Period | United States | China | India | Germany |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 12.6% | 15.3% | 22.7% | 11.1% |
| 2022 | 13.1% | 15.2% | 23.2% | 11.5% |
| 2021 | 13.3% | 14.0% | 24.0% | 11.6% |
| 2020 | 13.4% | 13.3% | 21.4% | 11.7% |
| 2019 | 13.1% | 15.2% | 24.0% | 11.8% |
| 2018 | 13.4% | 15.4% | 24.3% | 12.2% |
| 2017 | 13.6% | 15.6% | 24.3% | 12.1% |
| 2016 | 13.8% | 15.6% | 24.1% | 12.4% |
| 2015 | 13.8% | 15.7% | 23.8% | 12.5% |
| 2014 | 13.8% | 15.5% | 23.8% | 12.3% |
| 2013 | 13.9% | 15.7% | 23.9% | 12.8% |
| 2012 | 14.0% | 15.9% | 23.8% | 12.5% |
| 2011 | 14.2% | 16.4% | 23.6% | 12.8% |
| 2010 | 14.4% | 16.7% | 23.5% | 13.0% |
| 2009 | 14.7% | 17.3% | 23.1% | 13.2% |
| 2008 | 15.0% | 18.2% | 22.8% | 13.3% |
| 2007 | 15.2% | 18.9% | 22.5% | 13.5% |
| 2006 | 15.6% | 19.4% | 22.1% | 13.6% |
| 2005 | 16.1% | 20.2% | 22.0% | 14.0% |
| 2004 | 16.3% | 20.7% | 22.1% | 14.4% |
| 2003 | 17.0% | 20.7% | 22.5% | 15.0% |
| 2002 | 17.3% | 21.0% | 22.9% | 15.3% |
| 2001 | 17.7% | 21.2% | 23.2% | 15.5% |
| 2000 | 18.1% | 21.5% | 23.4% | 16.1% |
A dash means no value was published for that period.
In short
- Among the 185 countries with a value for 2023, the highest is Guyana (45.2%) and the lowest South Korea (6.6%).
- Half of the countries are above 18.9% and half below.
- From 2022 to 2023 the value rose in 57 countries and fell in 118.
About this measure
Source and dates
All countries in 2023 Every value is for 2023, so the countries are compared at the same point in time.
- 1 Guyana 45.2%
- 2 Central African Republic 40.1%
- 3 Solomon Islands 38.1%
- 4 Kiribati 37.7%
- 5 Lesotho 36.8%
- 6 Vanuatu 36.0%
- 7 Fiji 33.0%
- 8 Afghanistan 32.8%
- 9 Micronesia 32.3%
- 10 Zimbabwe 31.5%
- 11 Haiti 30.7%
- 12 Eswatini 29.3%
- 13 Guinea-Bissau 28.3%
- 14 Turkmenistan 28.2%
- 15 Somalia, Fed. Rep. 27.9%
- 16 Yemen 25.6%
- 17 Tonga 25.4%
- 18 Egypt 25.0%
- 19 Ukraine 25.0%
- 20 South Africa 24.9%
- 21 Trinidad and Tobago 24.9%
- 22 Mozambique 24.4%
- 23 Moldova 24.2%
- 24 Pakistan 24.0%
- 25 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 24.0%
- 26 Chad 23.9%
- 27 Eritrea 23.9%
- 28 Malawi 23.9%
- 29 Laos 23.8%
- 30 Samoa 23.7%
- 31 Republic of the Congo 23.5%
- 32 Liberia 23.4%
- 33 Belarus 23.3%
- 34 Russia 23.3%
- 35 Myanmar 23.2%
- 36 Cambodia 23.0%
- 37 Mongolia 22.9%
- 38 Philippines 22.9%
- 39 Togo 22.9%
- 40 Democratic Republic of the Congo 22.7%
- 41 India 22.7%
- 42 Montenegro 22.7%
- 43 Bulgaria 22.6%
- 44 Mauritius 22.4%
- 45 Sudan 22.4%
- 46 Timor-Leste 22.3%
- 47 Guinea 22.2%
- 48 Mali 22.0%
- 49 Uzbekistan 22.0%
- 50 Equatorial Guinea 21.9%
- 51 Grenada 21.8%
- 52 Papua New Guinea 21.8%
- 53 Bangladesh 21.7%
- 54 Burundi 21.7%
- 55 Côte d'Ivoire 21.7%
- 56 Namibia 21.6%
- 57 Zambia 21.6%
- 58 Cameroon 21.4%
- 59 North Korea 21.4%
- 60 Indonesia 21.3%
- 61 Senegal 21.1%
- 62 Uganda 21.1%
- 63 Angola 21.0%
- 64 Hungary 21.0%
- 65 Ghana 20.7%
- 66 Latvia 20.6%
- 67 Libya 20.5%
- 68 Belize 20.4%
- 69 Niger 20.4%
- 70 Suriname 20.3%
- 71 Burkina Faso 20.2%
- 72 Iraq 20.2%
- 73 Georgia 20.1%
- 74 Saint Lucia 20.1%
- 75 Serbia 20.1%
- 76 Madagascar 20.0%
- 77 Gambia 19.9%
- 78 Sierra Leone 19.8%
- 79 Venezuela 19.8%
- 80 Gabon 19.6%
- 81 Kazakhstan 19.5%
- 82 Malaysia 19.5%
- 83 Rwanda 19.5%
- 84 North Macedonia 19.4%
- 85 Romania 19.4%
- 86 Azerbaijan 19.3%
- 87 Seychelles 19.1%
- 88 Nigeria 19.0%
- 89 Paraguay 19.0%
- 90 Benin 18.9%
- 91 Jamaica 18.9%
- 92 Syria 18.9%
- 93 Viet Nam 18.9%
- 94 Morocco 18.8%
- 95 South Sudan 18.7%
- 96 Mauritania 18.6%
- 97 Honduras 18.5%
- 98 Kyrgyzstan 18.3%
- 99 Nepal 18.2%
- 100 Tanzania 18.0%
- 101 São Tomé and Príncipe 17.7%
- 102 Tajikistan 17.7%
- 103 Bahamas 17.6%
- 104 Armenia 17.3%
- 105 Sri Lanka 17.2%
- 106 Kenya 17.1%
- 107 Lithuania 17.1%
- 108 Guatemala 16.8%
- 109 Ethiopia 16.7%
- 110 Comoros 16.6%
- 111 Bosnia and Herzegovina 16.4%
- 112 Botswana 16.4%
- 113 Cuba 16.4%
- 114 Uruguay 16.4%
- 115 Poland 16.3%
- 116 Brunei 15.9%
- 117 Bhutan 15.7%
- 118 Dominican Republic 15.7%
- 119 El Salvador 15.7%
- 120 Slovakia 15.5%
- 121 Bolivia 15.4%
- 122 Mexico 15.4%
- 123 China 15.3%
- 124 Croatia 15.2%
- 125 Djibouti 15.0%
- 126 Brazil 14.6%
- 127 Argentina 14.5%
- 128 Maldives 14.4%
- 129 Saudi Arabia 14.4%
- 130 Thailand 14.2%
- 131 Türkiye 14.1%
- 132 Cabo Verde 14.0%
- 133 Estonia 13.9%
- 134 West Bank and Gaza 13.9%
- 135 Nicaragua 13.2%
- 136 Algeria 13.0%
- 137 Czechia 13.0%
- 138 Iran 12.6%
- 139 Lebanon 12.6%
- 140 United States 12.6%
- 141 Antigua and Barbuda 12.5%
- 142 Albania 12.0%
- 143 Oman 11.9%
- 144 Barbados 11.7%
- 145 Tunisia 11.6%
- 146 Jordan 11.2%
- 147 Germany 11.1%
- 148 Panama 10.9%
- 149 Slovenia 10.9%
- 150 United Kingdom 10.9%
- 151 Bahrain 10.6%
- 152 Ecuador 10.5%
- 153 Greece 10.5%
- 154 Peru 10.4%
- 155 Portugal 10.4%
- 156 Puerto Rico (US) 10.4%
- 157 Costa Rica 10.2%
- 158 Chile 10.0%
- 159 New Zealand 9.9%
- 160 Colombia 9.8%
- 161 France 9.7%
- 162 Canada 9.6%
- 163 Denmark 9.5%
- 164 Finland 9.5%
- 165 Netherlands 9.5%
- 166 Austria 9.3%
- 167 Malta 9.0%
- 168 Spain 9.0%
- 169 Cyprus 8.9%
- 170 Kuwait 8.9%
- 171 Belgium 8.7%
- 172 Iceland 8.7%
- 173 Ireland 8.5%
- 174 Australia 8.4%
- 175 Italy 8.4%
- 176 Singapore 8.3%
- 177 Israel 8.0%
- 178 Japan 7.9%
- 179 Luxembourg 7.9%
- 180 Norway 7.6%
- 181 Sweden 7.6%
- 182 Switzerland 7.1%
- 183 Qatar 6.9%
- 184 United Arab Emirates 6.8%
- 185 South Korea 6.6%
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Grey: no value for 2023. Colour groups split countries into roughly equal numbers. Boundaries: Natural Earth.